Week 3 was a positive week. My Investments are now 3-2-1. Getting good lines is a huge key. I saw Oakland at anywhere between +14.5 to +16.5. I got a push at +16. I had a game Week 2 that was a push instead of a loss. Ideally, I'd pick games that cover the spread by 10+, but that's usually not the way the NFL goes.
My other picks went 7-6, which brings that total to 21-17-1. I'm not investing in those games, but it's nice to see that I would be up if I had.
Week 4 Thoughts:
49ers (-4) at Rams: This spread is in the middle of where I want it. If I could get Rams +7 or more, I like them and if I could get 49ers -3 or less, I'd like them. Probably a no play. Both teams have looked bad the past two weeks.
Steelers (-2.5) vs Vikings: Are these teams really this bad? Maybe. I'd favor Roethlisberger over Ponder, but Pitt can't run the ball.
Ravens (-3.5) at Bills: I didn't like Baldimore before the year and Buffalo has played decently well. I'd lean towards Buffalo.
Bengals (-5) at Browns: Cincy has been inconsistent and Cleveland played their hearts out last week. This could be a trap game for Cincy after beating Green Bay and with New England on deck.
Colts (-9.5) at Jaguars: Colts look legit but 9.5 is a lot. However, I wouldn't bet Jacksonville without getting 14.
Seahawks (-3) at Texans: Seattle historically hasn't traveled well but they look like a team on a mission. Houston has struggled since the middle of last season. It looks like two teams headed in opposite directions.
Cardinals (+2.5) at Buccaneers: Finally a home favorite! Two inconsistent teams. Probably a pass for me but I do expect Tampa Bay to win behind a QB that Schiano actually supports.
Bears (+2.5) at Lions: Lots of points. Charles Tillman is banged up and might miss the game. Megatron could go nuts if Peanut isn't playing. Bears offense has done just enough to win. I'm still suspect of them.
Giants (+5) at Chiefs: Giants hit Rock Bottom last week so they should respond. KC is 3-0 but they've relied on turnovers so far. Will it continue? Alex Smith sucks.
Jets (+4) at Titans: These teams could actually finish near .500 or better. Should be a good game.
Cowboys (-2.5) at Chargers: Dallas will have to show me that they can win on the road before I invest in them. However, I'm not investing in Phillip "Butthole" Rivers.
Redskins (-3.5) at Raiders: Skins have played 3 very good offenses and have gotten smoked. Can they respond against a below average offense? Raiders are a weird team. Probably a pass.
Eagles (+11.5) at Broncos: Philly can score and Dinver's D is very average. On the other hand, Manning should be able to do whatever he wants against Philly's D. Eagles get 10 days to get ready for this and Dinver only gets 6 days.
Patriots (+2.5) at Falcons: Pats getting points? That doesn't happen very often. I'd like to take Atlanta but they have tons of injuries. Should be an interesting game.
Dolphins (+6.5) at Saints: Two 3-0 teams and the line is 6.5? Cameron Wake feeding time will be delayed a few weeks and it could really hurt them in New Orleans. I could see New Orleans putting Miami back in their place.
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